6edges newsletter

“because the world is nuts”

Welcome to the “Because the World is Nuts!” newsletter Number 7!

Good day Traders and Investors,

I have started this newsletter several times, and each time I began, world events moved so rapidly that it was out of date by the time I finished it, sometimes in the same morning!

You do not need me to rewrite the news, although some would say we need just that to find out what is really going on, and for that reason we have the Market Cycles Private Blog, but suffice to say the world really has gone nuts. 
It is clear that if any problem, or potential problem appears on the horizon, the only response is to throw more money at it. Money by any means, just throw it out there, stop a market correction, and make inflation happen.

So far they are only succeeding at preventing a market correction, what that means for the future I do not want to suggest here for risk of sounding even more nuts than current situations and events.

Without a doubt, the Corona virus has thrown a spanner in the works of cyclical calculations. The only thing that is tracking the current markets well is sentiment, and that is really the buzz word now, everybody is looking at it. Stocks traders and FX traders, crude oil traders, all are united in this, just as they all became united in looking at how low the VIX volatility was, remember that? 

In this environment it is good to know what cycle we are in. Usually “events” push markets in line with the cycles, and sometimes, rather like now, some markets are being skewed. Its a time to ask Cyclist what he is doing, as markets have always reverted back to what the cycles suggest, just sometimes they can skew a long way and we need to trade against the major cycle to catch the minors, or patiently sit out, all depends on how active or passively you trade.

Cyclist publishes his yearly outlook during January and February for stocks, dollar, FX, Gold and Bonds, available to all members. All his posts and activity are archived for members to refer back to as some long term forecasts can take a while to develop, and of course the point is to make money and protect your funds, not just to win or lose in the war of predictions as so many seem to focus on.

Join us now to secure this resource for the next 7/8ths of trading year ahead!

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Welcome to the “Because the World is Nuts!” newsletter Number 6!  

2019 was a year where traders and investors in the US stock market did very well by doing absolutely nothing! Buy and Hold, passive investing proved to be a winning strategy. But that doesnt mean it was easy. To maximise the year, to navigate the swings, sit tight through the low volatility and to ignore the many calls for big crashes and expectations of black swans was a job for the mentally tough and strongly systemised traders. Those that could ignore what “should” happen, what “usually” happens, and instead deal with is actually happening right here and now, did very well, and fortunately some of our members have those skills and made some excellent trade calls.
Kudos has to go to Moon, FM, n0marko and Pict, just to name some that stand out. Also should mention VG,Tiago, Tarponking and Sanjay and Hertz with his “frequency” calculations!

:palm_tree:

Cyclists stand out call for me personally was on GBPJPY, a relatively big mover in a year of record lowest FX volatility since the end of the Bretton Woods agreement in 1971. This call also aligned with my own views of buying GBP pairs, and Cyclists view assisted me in giving confidence to keep on buying despite the potential fundamental risks during the the political events of the year. Cyclist also made some very timely short calls in SPX which for a short term trader such as myself were very interesting, and for those with a long bias it may have assisted in taking profits and then looking for a time and price to get back in long.  Gold, and specific miners stocks, GDX ETF and Crude were also called on.


That is where conversation and “flow” can help so much in forming a traders view. We dont have to agree on everything, this is not a signal service, but being surrounded by such professional & experienced traders views means we can each form our own view based around the important information that flows by, and interpret our charts and systems accordingly as flow and ideas and comments interact with price and chart action.


Thank you to all members that contributed with calls, comments, information and encouragement, both “front of house” and behind the scenes. Please may there be much more of the same during the 2020 session!


Free access for life continues for contributing and founding members, and we are keeping open the “free trial” window for new and non contributing members for now, so please forward this newsletter to any traders and investors that you know who may be interested in benefiting from our community.  This information portal will become even more essential as the world goes nuttier!


All the best for a great 2020,

Hex.

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Welcome to the “Because the World is Nuts!” newsletter Number 5!

New highs in the US indices, new lows in Volatility, FX Volatility basically flatlined.
Makes for a very slow and boring way to make a living in this current market environment. They say that good trading should not be exciting…but good FX trading also needs volatility, decent daily ranges of at least 0.75%. A two way market is best too, not just a “drift dive” which might be great if you are a scuba diver but not when trying to get into a trade!

Despite the markets being on the slow side, some members have done very well to ignore any pessimism, and to get long SPX and stay long in a trend following manner, kudos to those guys, I wish I had their patience.

Cyclist is partially back, off and on depending on internet connectivity, so we are still OFFERING FREE ACCESS! And we are actively interested in any new member that wishes to contribute to our trade/chat room, to increase the daily flow and colour provided.

Highlights for the past month in the Trade Room
Cyclist
yes after a substantial pullback we might see a run up to the 3500 with all  that QE money coming into the market.

Pict
From what I’m gathering the output from the solar panels vary greatly all the time.

Cyclist
The solar industries are not calculating solar minimum coming up in the world . The western nations are already experiencing less output and it is a negative environmentally wise.

Cyclist
The lows in gold are in IMO, after the expected meltup a la 1929 in the main markets ,we could see ,doesn’t have to be, a retest of the lows in the PM stocks at the end of the November month 

On the private blog, Hex used a pic of the month showing a Black Swan, and her Cygnets, suggesting there are so many possible market killing, but volatility increasing events breeding out there, so far none of them have grown up to be a threat but soon they will reach their “terrible teens” and that might be when we get some activity! Take care out there!

Current members please forward this email to your friends, foes, people you have lost touch with and need a reason to reconnect, or anyone else that might be interested! Do them a good turn and give them FREE ACCESS!

Wishing you a good month ahead,
Hex.

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Welcome to the “Because the World is Nuts!” newsletter Number 4!

The entire world is exhausted by the news. Every country has its political class in a total mess and without power to govern freely. Maybe that’s a good thing, I really don’t want to get into that because 50% of readers will have an opposing view, and all that matters is what the markets think, and making sure we are on the right side of what they are saying.  
The only thing I will say is regarding Brexit in the UK. What will probably happen now is, Boris Johnson will keep on insisting on the 31st October as the Brexit date, right up until as near to midnight as he can. Then he will make a speech, he will appear frustrated and impassioned as he calls on the Brexiteers to not take to the streets a la Barcelona, HK, Lebanon….he will call on the disillusioned to give him a bit more time to deliver Brexit, and call on the people to demonstrate their frustrations, not in the streets but at the ballot box in a General Election. 


One other thing I want to say whilst I have your attention and before I fall off my soap box.
FREE ACCESS UNTIL DECEMBER!


Yes that’s right. As Cyclist is currently away we are opening up the Trade Room to anyone that wants to look in, join up and contribute to our group of traders and investors.


Tell you friends, tell your Mums, tell your pets. Just enter your email address at http://www.6edges.net and I will add you to Slack and you can have at least a few weeks to see what goes on. Its not a high volume high activity place, but its quality over quantity…come and see…


Cyclists big picture views are currently  long physical gold, and long biased GBPJPY as it makes a multi month base, but come and find out his recent views on spot Gold, Silver and Miners before its too late to take action.

For more recent updates, market information and activity join us! Click Below to Sign Up.
SIgn up to receive immediate updates from Cyclist and other expert members of our community via the www.6edges.net live Trading Room

Current members please forward this email to your friends, foes, people you have lost touch with and need a reason to reconnect, fellow Traders and Investors, and anyone else that might be interested!

Do them a good turn and give them FREE ACCESS!

Wishing you a good month ahead,

Hex.

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We made it to the third 6edges.net “Because the World is Nuts!” activity update!   September….its only the 24th but it feels like its been about 6 weeks long!Geopolitics have been chaotic, there is no other way to describe it, there is not a single theme. The only thing that unites every major country right now is political uncertainty, and economy wise they are all on the cusp. 
One way I had chaos theory explained to me was to imagine two roulette wheels placed side by side. The steel ball is balanced right on the join between them. The ball is in a totally unstable situation, and we have no idea what will happen, all we know is, the ball cannot stay where it is much longer….
Its Because the World is Nuts that people join our site. Cyclist is way ahead of Global cycles, geopolitics, and how events can affect the markets you trade.
Just wanted to talk a little about our service. Its not a place for high volume trade signals, or idle chat for the sake of saying something. If the markets are quiet , we are quiet. Some members use our private blogger site to share longer posts about their thoughts on the markets & this month US debt has been topical, and probably will be again at some point in the future!


Cyclists views have not changed. Long physical gold, short spot gold from $1550, flat on GDX and long biased GBPJPY as it makes a multi month base. 


Below are a few recent comments from members in trade room.
September 5th

Financial Moose
Futures soaring right now
All indices up 1%
Massive short squeeze imo. Everyone and their mother was bearish.Broke out of 2950 resistance and Darvas box

MrsHex 
Linda Raschke says put/call ratio told her to get long on the 4th and there is “more gas in the tank”, Similar to FMs idea.

September 9th

Hertz shared a proprietary chart on miner AUY This Gann cycle is one of his simplest methods.


September 11th
Tarponking buying Bitcoin
Started scaling in gbtc at the close.

For more recent updates, market information and activity join us!
SIgn up to receive immediate updates from Cyclist and other expert members of our community via the 6edges.net live Trading Room

Welcome to the second 6edges.net “Because the World is Nuts!” activity update! 

Even “Walls of Money” crumble against “Cycles” 
 So, August is finally over…seemed like a very long month…too damn hot, markets were crazy, geopolitics totally mental, and did I say too damn hot?
Had a couple of very interesting phone calls last month. One with somebody from an engineering firm in the UK and another from a house building firm, also UK.

The first told me in no uncertain terms, “we are headed for a terrible recession, and some say we are already in it”
They cited the automotive industry, brexit, consumer debt. The German slowdown into recession is also a big factor.
The most surprising thing was to be told that outside all supermarkets now are Food Banks, with shopping lists telling people what they need you to buy for them…this is a very affluent area where for example, they recently opened a Waitrose…that will mean more to British readers but basically its an upper crust supermarket, like a deli but bigger maybe.

The second told me they are selling up. Its a listed firm which is basically a decent family business that became successful due to clever financial engineering in a booming government sponsored housing market and they are selling out to, a much larger listed firm. The reason is that their main activity has become “build to rent”, building housing for housing corporations, local councils, and they bargain hard on price and so its a not very profitable niche, but the only one left right now as building small private estates on spec is no longer a viable business in the UK, due to many factors such as high land prices, property taxes, personal indebtedness, and of course a topping out housing market.

Despite being hot, I did learn a lot in August. I learnt that I need to listen more. Listen to Cyclist and listen to other members here.
During every day I am in touch with a couple of people…ex floor traders that have been in the FX business for 35 years…and wow they can trade…I have learnt a lot from these guys other recent years. And so when they both tell me, from different inside sources, that their connections tell them that there is a “wall of money” below EURUSD, and on top of DXY, all my math and and thoughts of “cycles” or what Cyclist has said, is just ignored. I looked only at buying the Euro, looking for a surge up on “End of Month Flows” I was short USDCHF too, expecting a risk off collapse that never came. So I turned a good month into a mediocre one, all in that final couple of days.

Looking back through the archive of August, of Cyclist posts, he was consistent in his views and described in real time what he expected, and it all played it as prescribed. From FX to SPX, to the Gold/Silver ratio.

So the key lesson is, trade the technicals, be aware of the fundamentals. Listen to Cyclist, and dont rely on “whispers” to give you a windfall. Even “walls of money” crumble against “Cycles”.


http://www.6edges.net continues to grow and highlight trading opportunities, we have solid market discussions and carefully navigate through todays markets as a supportive, active community. Please consider joining us to receive timely market information.

Here are some recent highlights.

Cyclist 4th August 

There is a historic change about to happen what has never happened before with the Negative interest rate universe.This will cause the annihilation of the pension funds and the bankruptcy of nations when interest rates are going up ,if there are any tradable bonds left, in a liquidity crisis.The Fed will not be able to stem the tide.The holders of bonds denominated with a negative coupon will be wiped out. As it has essentially no value.
I think governments are well aware of it ,instead of printing currency they print bonds that will have no value and are forcing pension funds to buy them for “safety” reason, how diabolical can one get.
.The reason Trump wants to see 0 or better yet negative interest rates ,to wipe out the debt,I think the Asians are getting wise from what I hear.The feeling is that the stock markets might hit the Stratosphere what I personally doubt while bondholders are being set up for holding the bag.  It is a Mug’s game that will make gold shine or any other commodity asset.
Presently interest rates are going through a black hole while obliterating the principal in the process. 

Sanjay August 12th I am again late by 1 day. So far as I can read the astro-charts, no major upside movement is expected in Oil. It is “Sell on Rise” market for Oil. On the other hand, Mars aspecting Jupiter may result in further upside in Gold, Silver and Platinum.
Gold and precious metals are in “Buy on Dips” market and likely to remain so till September


FM August 19th

Definitely not a place to short imo. Lots of volume ratios giving bullish signals last week Wednesday and Friday. Not out of the woods just yet though.  

Hex August 26th
Hi @Cyclist I have been asked to ask if that is the reversal in gold, short mode now? Thanks, Hex. 


Cyclist August 26th

Hex ,I am only in physical gold .I am standing aside with gold/silver  stocks.I did buy physical Platinum.
 August 28th

Several members discussed Bitcoin, brokers and price levels, also how much to hold as a % of a portfolio, very interesting but its too soon to make this information public.

 August 30th MA   
You were also right about Gold/Silver Ratio thanks again Cyclist!   

SIgn up to receive immediate updates from Cyclist and other expert members of our community via the 6edges.net live Trading Room

19th August 2019
Welcome to the very first 6edges.net “Because the World is Nuts!” activity update! 

It’s lively times in the 6edges forums.

Cyclist is increasing his activity as market volatility rises.

Here are some recent highlights.

CYCLIST SAYS

Cyclist on gold & silver miners
FYI ,I have been exiting gold and silver stocks ,the cycle has topped out

Cyclist on stocks
I think the top will be in, the negative interest rates will eventually bring house of cards down .people will flee the bond market to seek shelter in commodities. It is going to get crazy.

Cyclist on Forex
Hex ,I mentioned to Hammond that GBP will make a major low in August in a multi month cycle against the Yen and the Euro as well.

Questions for Cyclist not yet answered……
TK
Cyclist, it looks like we got close to your target on the Dow today to reshort.  Are you still holding off?

Recent activity
Pc
There looks like a gap play on corn, limit order, they will wash the stops here I believe and set up a long swing IMHO.

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